As about a third of the primaries have occurred, I don’t think anyone is surprised that the predictions I made last issue are still holding strong, for better or worse, with a few, surprising outliers. So, I’m going candidate by candidate to reflect on how they have been doing so far in the race!
Republicans:
Donald Trump: Trump has emerged as the sole front-runner for the republican party, as of a scant week ago. With a staggering 995 delegates, he has all but guaranteed the Republican nomination.
Nikki Haley: Haley has a staggering 85 delegates to Trump’s 995. She’s won one state and one territory, and I can’t see her staying in this race much longer. Edit: I was right, as Haley withdrew from the republican primaries the morning after Super Tuesday.
Democrats:
Joe Biden: Biden, as the sole Democrat, has only lost one primary, and that was by 11 votes. He has basically guaranteed the democratic nomination, and it is looking more and more likely every day that 2024 will be a sequel of 2020.
Jason Palmer: Somehow, Palmer is in second place in the democratic party, with a shocking win on Super Tuesday in American Samoa, beating Biden by a margin of 11 votes. Out of 91 voters. I would say keep an eye on him, but he’s not going anywhere.
Despite being eight months until election day, it’s already clear who the candidates will be come November. I can’t wait til the election of 2020 pt. 2. /s
